MIAMI, FL (National Presse) – Officials at the National Hurricane Center (NHC) are actively investigating a growing disturbance off the coast of the Dominican Republic which could pose a risk for Florida. The NHC feels that a tropical cyclone could form over the next seven-days as a 60% chance.
“A well-defined tropical wave is producing a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, Puerto
Rico, the Virgin Islands, and the adjacent waters of the
southwestern Atlantic and northeastern Caribbean Sea. Development of
this system should be slow to occur during the next couple of days
while it moves west-northwestward over portions of the Greater
Antilles. However, environmental conditions are forecast to be more
conducive for development after the wave passes the Greater
Antilles, and a tropical depression could form this weekend or early
next week over the eastern Gulf of Mexico or near the Florida
Peninsula. Interests across the Greater Antilles, the Bahamas, and
Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system.” was stated by the NHC in their latest update.
What do the models show?
Models are not forecasts, but, are a tool that weather enthusiasts and meteorologists can use to have an idea for previous tracks of the storm. This can produce a more defining area as to what can happen in the short-term models.
The Global Forecast System (GFS) is an American-based model and is showing what could be a sharp-turning hurricane to the Perry, FL area. However, this model has changed quite frequently. This model places it as occurring by the end of the weekend.
The European model has a complete opposite viewpoint on this system. The ECMWF doesn’t view the system producing a tropical cyclone, but rather stays as a moist system off the base of Miami, FL. This would be the best-case scenario but will remain as a stark reminder for what could come later in the Hurricane season!
What should you do?
Panic is not what should be happening now. Make sure that you familiarize yourself with your evacuation plan, ensure you have food, water, chargers, batteries, cash, and a weather radio in your safe-place. Many forget to do an update on your homeowners or renters insurance to ensure there is flood damage coverage.
If a hurricane develops, make sure you cover the windows with plywood, make sure doors remain secured, and no loose items are outside. Make sure you take all medications with you, and fill your vehicle up with gas fully. Do not forget to check on the elderly nearby!
